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Another Day at Band Camp

Probability puzzles require you to weigh all the possibilities and pick the most likely outcome.

 

Puzzle ID:#6231
Fun:*** (2.26)
Difficulty:** (1.64)
Category:Probability
Submitted By:Mogmatt16Ava****!!
Corrected By:Winner4600

 

 

 



Mogmatt was in a drill down at Band Camp. This is where everyone gets into a block and tries to execute commands given by the drum major. If you miss a command, you must fall out. The last one left wins. Mogmatt is an exceptional marcher and will only miss one of every 30 commands. Unfortunately for him, so will all the other 149 band members. What is his probability of winning?





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