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Choosing Marbles

Probability puzzles require you to weigh all the possibilities and pick the most likely outcome.

 

Puzzle ID:#8808
Fun:*** (2.37)
Difficulty:*** (2.45)
Category:Probability
Submitted By:lesternoronha1****
Corrected By:MarcM1098

 

 

 



You choose one of two identical looking bags at random. One bag has three black marbles and one white marble. The other has three white marbles and one black marble. After choosing a bag you draw one marble out at random. You notice it is black. You then put it back and draw another marble out of the same bag at random. What is the probability that the second marble drawn is black?




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