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A Mariner's Chance

Probability puzzles require you to weigh all the possibilities and pick the most likely outcome.

 

Puzzle ID:#17169
Fun:*** (2.36)
Difficulty:** (1.72)
Category:Probability
Submitted By:toast9897Aus****

 

 

 



An old wartime story describes a sailor who, during a pitched battle, put his head through the hole made in the side of his ship by an enemy shell. His theory was that the odds of another shell landing in exactly the same spot should be extremely low.
Was his reasoning correct?




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