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A Mariner's Chance

Probability puzzles require you to weigh all the possibilities and pick the most likely outcome.

 

Puzzle ID:#17169
Fun:*** (2.36)
Difficulty:** (1.72)
Category:Probability
Submitted By:toast9897Aus****

 

 

 



An old wartime story describes a sailor who, during a pitched battle, put his head through the hole made in the side of his ship by an enemy shell. His theory was that the odds of another shell landing in exactly the same spot should be extremely low.
Was his reasoning correct?




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Comments

toast9897Aus*
Apr 05, 2004

nobody say anything about plagiarism...
pretty_ponyz*
Apr 05, 2004

what does plagiarism mean? i love ponys
Palsha**
Apr 05, 2004

Why do you always say on ever comment you make that you love ponies?
jimbo*au*
Apr 07, 2004

Gee. Could it be because she loves ponies? I liked the puzzle. Good explanation!
toast9897Aus*
Apr 07, 2004

ponies are cool. thanks guys. hey pretty_ponyz i have a question. why are they so short?
ghost09
Apr 07, 2004

Its very good but easy.

(its very fun)
ghost09
Apr 07, 2004

Its very good but easy.

(its very fun)
(user deleted)
May 28, 2004

There are two issues with this solution, 1. If these ships were not moving and they were close together, it would be foolish because the aim would likely be unchanged. 2.If the ship were under normal conditions - on waves and miles away from each other, then that would likely be the best place to look out! Realisticly, the sailor should be on the other side of the ship jumping into a life boat!!
CGauss6180
Oct 24, 2004

This is such a stupid problem that is totaly ambiguous in its definition and has no real answer. Don't bother posting any more rubbish like this please

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