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buu441 
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Posted: 04:44AM Dec 15, 2012 |
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Thanks buu!
Welcome to Round 2.
Unfortunately, I have some bad news for most of you... the seer is dead!
kmr - human
Jayo - seer
---This message was edited on 2012-12-15 07:54:37---
Leo: Hold on. This is gonna hurt. Coach Hedge: I was BORN for HURT!! |
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buu441
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Posted: 04:45AM Dec 15, 2012 |
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will wait for identity before voting or posting anything else.
Leo: Hold on. This is gonna hurt. Coach Hedge: I was BORN for HURT!! |
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jeminy 
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Posted: 04:53AM Dec 15, 2012 |
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 I'm guessing night timed out.
BTW, she was human. It says so in white at the end of the last post last round 
I'll hold my vote for the time being though
---This message was edited on 2012-12-15 04:53:48---
I had a signature but then I forgot it 0.o |
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HarryPutter 
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Posted: 04:53AM Dec 15, 2012 |
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Night timed out I guess? 
Just gonna vote bj for now.
If you're interested in teaching or learning something, check out the Braingle Academy TB. Request link: http://tinyurl.com/q3zpgmz |
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buu441
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Posted: 04:56AM Dec 15, 2012 |
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oh. didnt try selecting the text. am gonna put in an spv for now as well then.
edit:
guess the night did time out.  it did show voting ends in 1 min when i had checked before rfm'ing.
---This message was edited on 2012-12-15 04:59:57---
Leo: Hold on. This is gonna hurt. Coach Hedge: I was BORN for HURT!! |
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Rhythmic
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Posted: 05:38AM Dec 15, 2012 |
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Let's see what happens when I vote for GreenApples27
"Music should always be an adventure." - Coleman Hawkins |
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jeminy
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Posted: 06:14AM Dec 15, 2012 |
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I'll lock in a vote for Rhythmic for now.
I had a signature but then I forgot it 0.o |
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Rhythmic
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Posted: 06:27AM Dec 15, 2012 |
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And now I know. 
"Music should always be an adventure." - Coleman Hawkins |
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The_Spider
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Posted: 07:46AM Dec 15, 2012 |
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SPV, I have nothing to do all day so ill be around
Im sort of glad Krum was human, cause if she was wolf, despite shooting her, I would have gotten 5 people "who are nobodies fool"  voting for me for a harmless joke. Ive said it before, people make really dumb decisions in these games just to avoid the risk of appearing gullible.
oh damn forget the SPV then, guess its just a fish all the way across the Pond then
---This message was edited on 2012-12-15 07:53:32---
Can you imagine what I would do if I could do all I can - Sun Tzu |
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chunnie
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Posted: 07:53AM Dec 15, 2012 |
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May I direct your attention to the first post...
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The_Spider
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Posted: 07:54AM Dec 15, 2012 |
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Just caught it, Im glad I didnt post my fake seer hint (to try to give the real one cover)
withoout the seer, our suspicouns might have to be...innovative haha
---This message was edited on 2012-12-15 08:13:13---
Can you imagine what I would do if I could do all I can - Sun Tzu |
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Smithy
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Posted: 08:13AM Dec 15, 2012 |
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Hey guys I'm the Seer and I divi.. oh wait never mind.
I wonder if jayo's slightly arbitrary analysis of spider's claim last round gave him away. Nah, the wolves just got lucky, whatever they might say.
I think we're kind of in trouble here with the seer gone, nothing gained from the first round and two players who might be MIA. Time for some kind of grenade, off to plot.
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buu441
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Posted: 09:16AM Dec 15, 2012 |
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changing my vote to get myself off a majority at the moment.
jayo voted jeminy, then got eaten. the wolves might be trying to frame jeminy that way.
again, GA asked me vote jayo so as to tie the 4 way majorities. the wolves ate jayo. again, the might be trying to frame GA, or it might be a double bluff or whatever.
i am not sure about all this. am just posting my observations. lets see what you guys have to say about this.
a question: can a person be a wolf two games in a row? i mean, i have suspicions about GA, but then again, he was wolf last game. what are the chances?
*edit: correcting the gender.
---This message was edited on 2012-12-15 09:22:48---
Leo: Hold on. This is gonna hurt. Coach Hedge: I was BORN for HURT!! |
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Rhythmic
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Posted: 09:18AM Dec 15, 2012 |
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Prior games (as far as I know) have no bearing on other games selecting werewolves/seer.
"Music should always be an adventure." - Coleman Hawkins |
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buu441
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Posted: 09:21AM Dec 15, 2012 |
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okay. so we cant rule out him not being wolf.
Leo: Hold on. This is gonna hurt. Coach Hedge: I was BORN for HURT!! |
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Rhythmic
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Posted: 09:26AM Dec 15, 2012 |
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As far as I can telll, the only people we can rule out are the dead.
"Music should always be an adventure." - Coleman Hawkins |
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jeminy
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Posted: 09:36AM Dec 15, 2012 |
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Our seer dead in the first round! The wolves must've cheated
So... does anyone know who the wolves are? That might help us slightly
I had a signature but then I forgot it 0.o |
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The_Spider
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Posted: 10:03AM Dec 15, 2012 |
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a question: can a person be a wolf two games in a row? i mean, i have suspicions about GA, but then again, he was wolf last game. what are the chances?
This is the infamours Gambler's Fallacy and it pops up every 3 games or so So long as the computer selects roles randomly (which everything indicates it does) than past roles have no bearing whatsoever on future roles. For example, if you flip a fair coin heads 6 times in a row, the chances of landing heads the 7th time is and will always be 50%. For a recent example, look at Deb, she was a wolf 3 times in a row now (so fled to moderating  ) and even had the same partner in consectuvite games.
Hopefully GA pops back in soon, if theres one thing you cant afford in a seerless now 8 player game, its a complete inactive
Can you imagine what I would do if I could do all I can - Sun Tzu |
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buu441
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Posted: 10:15AM Dec 15, 2012 |
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yeah. thats true. GA and HP would be two of the most experienced guys in this game. no offence to the rest of you, but thats just my opinion. we need them to win this one.
edit: spelled opinion as opiniong...
---This message was edited on 2012-12-15 10:16:57---
Leo: Hold on. This is gonna hurt. Coach Hedge: I was BORN for HURT!! |
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Smithy
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Posted: 10:33AM Dec 15, 2012 |
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Voting buu, his posts seem kind of fake I think (I mean, would he really have considered ruling GA out based on him being a wolf last game?), and his abdication of responsibility both in abandoning the majority and deferring conjecture to the overlords GA & HP seems a bit like trying to lay low.
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The_Spider
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Posted: 10:38AM Dec 15, 2012 |
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I was voting buu urns
but you make a good point, Buus played 28 games, surely this has come up before? either way, you need to act more human buu
---This message was edited on 2012-12-15 10:59:30---
Can you imagine what I would do if I could do all I can - Sun Tzu |
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Smithy
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Posted: 11:03AM Dec 15, 2012 |
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OH SICK BUU-RN
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HarryPutter
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Posted: 11:40AM Dec 15, 2012 |
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Don't underestimate buu he is capable of getting the seer killed blind while his wolf partner refuses to vote
If you're interested in teaching or learning something, check out the Braingle Academy TB. Request link: http://tinyurl.com/q3zpgmz |
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Smithy
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Posted: 11:47AM Dec 15, 2012 |
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We're saying he should know better than the uncertainty he's claiming, if we're wrong that would be OVERestimating.
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The_Spider
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Posted: 12:34PM Dec 15, 2012 |
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Dying as human sucks it but like that undefeated team suffering its first loss, it allows you to cut back and play a little
50/50 on the Buu concept...but without a majority this will be too Buuring
Voting buu
Can you imagine what I would do if I could do all I can - Sun Tzu |
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Smithy
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Posted: 01:51PM Dec 15, 2012 |
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Oh yeah like I always try to get across I'm not saying he is likely a wolf, just that there is perhaps a reason to consider him more likely than others, as small a reason as it is. Better to have a small reason than none at all, and yeah, a MoO would be suicidal unless we get lucky. (Same with the potential inactive votes.)
---This message was edited on 2012-12-15 13:59:33--- |
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The_Spider
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Posted: 02:13PM Dec 15, 2012 |
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Hey guys we do have a plausible reason to put Jolly old Green Giant down
I wish the people who's name keeps whizzing on and off the online now would post something to the game. Yeah maybe I talk to much, but its a discussion based game, I enjoy adding to and reading the discussion....otherwise I wouldnt be playing
---This message was edited on 2012-12-15 14:48:50---
Can you imagine what I would do if I could do all I can - Sun Tzu |
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Smithy
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Posted: 02:44PM Dec 15, 2012 |
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Agreed, all the players that say they like to sit back, watch and consider are basically making the game worse for the rest of us.
And that's when you end up with a tedious back and forth like this. 
---This message was edited on 2012-12-15 14:45:39--- |
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Rhythmic
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Posted: 03:24PM Dec 15, 2012 |
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No vote from Green or baby so far. I'm content leaving my vote where it is.
"Music should always be an adventure." - Coleman Hawkins |
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GreenApples27
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Posted: 03:55PM Dec 15, 2012 |
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Wow I am so sorry! I completely forgot about braingle - was a mandatory in my WTB in the final four as well, so you can trust me that I am being genuine.
I am back now so hello! I am gutted about the Seer being eaten round one, but at least it means we don't have to vote the non-voters to protect the Seer. Since I have been so inactive I have to reread this round and the end of the last round to decide on an appropriate vote.
EDIT: After rereading, I have come to a toss up between buu and babyjuice, buu since he's the only one with a case made against him, and babyjuice as her inactivity means we won't be able to get a decent tell on her in later rounds. For now I'll tie it up between babyjuice and buu and give buu another chance, since he's at least posting and speaking his ideas, however fake they may sound. And I don't particularly mind if his thinking ends with me being human.
---This message was edited on 2012-12-15 16:04:49--- |
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Smithy
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Posted: 04:12PM Dec 15, 2012 |
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I'm generally in favour of shooting inactives but the problem is, if we shoot babyjuice and she's human we're left in must lynch with no seer and pretty much no information to work with.
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GreenApples27
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Posted: 04:19PM Dec 15, 2012 |
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Hmm, I'm looking more at it like if buu flips human, it doesn't tell us much at all about anyone's identity, and we're left with a potential MIA human, giving the wolves a high advantage. And I don't see much against babyjuice being a potential wolf? We might even hit a wolf in babyjuice? Plus, two different votes this round can at least test people's sides or force them to take action and choose a side instead of sitting back and watching other people take control.
So, in summary I'm sticking with babyjuice this round.
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The_Spider
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Posted: 04:22PM Dec 15, 2012 |
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any new thoughts now Rythmic old buddy old pal?
Can you imagine what I would do if I could do all I can - Sun Tzu |
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Rhythmic
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Posted: 04:27PM Dec 15, 2012 |
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Just the observation that jeminy voted for me after I put Green in the majority (when buu was voting for him). If buu is a wolf, maybe jeminy is too? I'm grasping at staws, but it seems that straws are all we have (or at least all I have).
"Music should always be an adventure." - Coleman Hawkins |
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The_Spider
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Posted: 04:32PM Dec 15, 2012 |
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The wolf blew down the straw house, lets see if we can lay down a few bricks
---This message was edited on 2012-12-15 17:10:00---
Can you imagine what I would do if I could do all I can - Sun Tzu |
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Rhythmic
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Posted: 04:37PM Dec 15, 2012 |
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Rhythmic wrote: I'm grasping at staws,
Sorry for the lisp.
"Music should always be an adventure." - Coleman Hawkins |
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The_Spider
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Posted: 05:24PM Dec 15, 2012 |
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I dont know, all i know is that if Krum didnt switch to Jeminy it could very well be me shot last round, which whether it offends or not, would have been pretty ridiculous. Thats the problem with even active first rounds, everybody voted within a few hours but then no one does anything. Naturally dont have very many suspects....trying to decide what the best course of action in regards to Babyjuice is?? She put me in a majority and I already know Im human, so not sure who we can connect her to...so does that mean we shoot her now or hope to get lucky with someone else?
Can you imagine what I would do if I could do all I can - Sun Tzu |
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jeminy
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Posted: 05:36PM Dec 15, 2012 |
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Personally, I think we should get a majority on someone, samll so we can overwrite if need be
I just don't like the thought that we might have had a chance of getting a wolf if it weren't for a randomeriser. And that vote for you Ryhthmic was purely random, but grasping at straws is better than nothing.
Anyway, saying that I'd better act on my beliefs and vote for babyjuice.
I had a signature but then I forgot it 0.o |
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The_Spider
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Posted: 06:45PM Dec 15, 2012 |
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im tempted to vote babyjuice, even if its slightly less than optimal, inactives dont deserve to stay
Can you imagine what I would do if I could do all I can - Sun Tzu |
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The_Spider
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Posted: 06:56PM Dec 15, 2012 |
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screw it, let me try BJ
next vote finishes her
Can you imagine what I would do if I could do all I can - Sun Tzu |
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HarryPutter
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Posted: 07:03PM Dec 15, 2012 |
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We have no real choice
If you're interested in teaching or learning something, check out the Braingle Academy TB. Request link: http://tinyurl.com/q3zpgmz |
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chunnie
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Posted: 09:20PM Dec 15, 2012 |
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babyjuice was HUMAN!
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